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Tuesday, May 22, 2012

Elliott wave analysis on EUR/USD; USD/JPY; The VIX and DJI

 EUR/USD - The correction since the 1.2640 low is still ongoing and we could see a test of 1.2852, before green wave iv is done a the next decline in green wave v sets in for a decline towards 1.2855.
 USD/JPY - Is set to break above critical resistance at 79.45 and a close above here will be the first indication that we have seen a bottom at 78.96. However we need a break above 80.55 to confirm the bottom and that a new impulsive wave 3 rally is under way.
 VIX Index - Closed inside the Bollinger Band, which indicates that a correction towards support near 20.00 is under way, however after the minor correction a new rally above 24.44 should be seen towards at least 26.86 and more likely 30.91.
Dow Jones Industrial - Wave 1 or A ended at 12.337 and we should now see a correction in wave 2 or B towards the 12,837 - 13,049 area before the next decline in wave 3 or C down sets in.

3 comments:

  1. Tell us something about EUR/JPY? If this decline accepting it for wave 2 isn't it too deep?

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  2. Hi Diversanta,

    Wave 2 is allowed to correct up to 99.9% of wave 1. The only rule is that wave 2 does not decline beyond the starting point of wave 1.
    So the current decline in wave 2 in EUR/JPY is totally acceptable, but we are close to the bottom now.

    I will update EUR/JPY and CHF/JPY in the next post.

    Regards
    EWS

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  3. Thanks for the link on the short term DJI. Your targets were never hit since May 22, do you still see the possibility of what you call a correction in Wave 2 or B to 12,800-13,000? Or did the drop below the 200dma negate your count? I am looking for a very oversold bounce off this last round of seeing propelled by bad news, in line with your correction prediction dating back to May 22.

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