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Tuesday, October 1, 2013

Elliott wave analysis of USD/CHF - Make or break time!

Preferred Count

Alternate Count
 
 
USD/CHF
 
 
We are at an very important make or break it point. As long as support at 0.9015 protects the downside the running triangle (wave b of the triangle went beyond the starting point of wave a) is the preferred Count and if this Count is the correct count, then we should soon see a rally back above 0.9075 and more importantly a break above 0.9138, which will ease the downside pressure and indicate, that the running triangle has finished and a thrust out of the triangle towards the upside should be expected towards 1.1734.
 
However, if we break below 0.9015, the triangle scenario is invalidated and we should instead expect a deeper correction towards 0.8567 (the bottom of wave iv of A), we might even see a move lower towards the 61.8% corrective target of wave A, which comes in at 0.8122, but only time will tell.
 
Stay flexible!


2 comments:

  1. Thanks for that EWS makes USDCHF clearer now
    Do you think we have a top at 10.50 with ZAR made a 5 wave pattern down and retraced to 61.8% from 9.54
    Best Regards jt

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  2. Hi JT,

    You are most welcome!

    Yes I think that we have an important top in place for USD/ZAR. Please see my last post re. USD/ZAR here:
    http://theelliottwavesufer.blogspot.dk/2013/09/elliott-wave-analysis-of-usdzar-wave-e.html

    Kind regards
    EWS

    ReplyDelete