Translate

Monday, September 30, 2013

Elliott wave analysis of EUR/JPY and EUR/NZD for September 30 - 2013

 EUR/JPY

Today's Support and Resistance Levels:
R3: 133.53
R2: 132.95
R1: 132.42
Current Spot: 132.05
S1: 131.34
S2: 130.95
S3: 130.51
Technical Summary:
With the break below 132.88 late Friday we knew, that the 1-2/1-2 scenario was incorrect and, that we needed to switch to the expanded leading diagonal scenario. This scenario called for a deeper correction towards 132.11 and maybe even lower towards 131.43. For now we have seen a low at 131.73 and therefore we should expect a short term correction towards 132.42 before the next push lower towards the ideal corrective target near 131.43 only from here should we expect wave iii to take over for the next impulsive rally higher towards 137.45 and possibly higher. But for now we should stay focused towards the downside as wave ii is still in power.
EUR/NZD

Today's Support and Resistance Levels:
R3: 1.6504
R2: 1.6418
R1: 1.6353
Current Spot: 1.6300
S1: 1.6264
S2: 1.6219
S3: 1.6200
Technical Summary:
It is not quite clear whether wave ii ended at 1.6219 or that just was wave a of ii. I do favor the scenario, where wave ii did end at 1.6219, but we will have to stay flexible. If we only have seen wave a at 1.6219, then wave b of ii took us to 1.6418 and wave c of ii is currently unfolding for a move lower towards 1.6200 before wave iii takes over for a rally higher towards at least 1.6776. Only a direct break above 1.6353 and more importantly a break above 1.6418 will confirm, that wave iii is developing for the rally towards 1.6776 and higher towards 1.7274 longer term.

4 comments:

  1. Hi EWS dont like to keep mentioning USDCHF (got stopped out last week LOL in to early) but looking like heavy divergence in 4HR on my indicators are we looking above 9117 to indicate bottom

    Best Regards jt

    ps how do you post a chart.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi JT.

      I don't like that we have closed below the support-line twice now, but we haven't broken below the all important support at 90.15, if this support is broken too we should see a move lower towards 0.8935 and possibly even 0.8567.

      As you say we can see a massive bullish divergence, but a break above 0.9136 is needed to ease the downside pressure.

      Kind regards
      EWS

      Delete
  2. Hi, EWS! First, thank you for all analysis. Could you please look at TRY/JPY and EUR/TRY. Thank you and best regards.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi Dan

      I have made a new post of my view of EUR/TRY and TRY/JPY

      Kind regards
      EWS

      Delete