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Tuesday, September 24, 2013

Elliott wave analysis of EUR/JPY and EUR/NZD for September 24 - 2013

 EUR/JPY

Today's Support and Resistance Levels:
R3: 134.24
R2: 133.92
R1: 133.57
Current Spot: 133.23
S1: 133.09
S2: 132.82
S3: 132.58
Technical Summary:
The correction from 134.95 has been much deeper than expected and the break below the top of red wave i at 133.37 has forced a change of my short term count. We now have two almost equal counts. The first which I prefer slightly and is shown on the chart above. Is that a series of wave one's and two's has developed and is should just be a matter of time before we will see the a series of powerful wave three's higher towards at least 137.45 and possibly higher. The second count is, that a leading diagonal has been building. This might call for a slightly deeper correction towards 132.79 and likely even 132.12 before we can expect the next rally higher. 
Short term a break above 133.56 and more importantly a break above 133.84 confirms the bottom and that the next powerful rally past 134.95 is developing.
EUR/NZD

Today's Support and Resistance Levels:
R3: 1.6348
R2: 1.6263
R1: 1.6235
Current Spot: 1.6217
S1: 1.6171
S2: 1.6122
S3: 1.6070 
Technical Summary:
The correction from 1.6070 has become slightly more complex than expected. Short term we could see a move closer to 1.6235 before the final decline towards 1.6011 should be expected. However, a break above 1.6235 will be a warning, that the bottom of wave C of the expanded flat correction could be in place, but to be sure we need a break above 1.6263 and more importantly a break above 1.6348, which will confirm the bottom for a new rally higher to 1.7475 and higher.

10 comments:

  1. Hi EWS eurnzd first time in 1hr above 126 ma (6 month ma) since tip of wave ii 30-8-13 support below from 200ma 6144 on D1 and 100ma 6094 on W1 lets see it explode

    USDCHF looking interesting early stages of making base could you give your veiw on this pair please
    Best Regards jt

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi JT,

      I think that we are at very strong support now and it will likely protect the downside for a rally higher towards at least 0.9279 if we break above 0.9138.

      Kind regards
      EWS

      Delete
  2. Morning EWS! Do you have a myfxbook account somewhere, or something like that? Thanks for your forecasts! Keep it up!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi Marco,

      Do you mean a track recorde?

      Kind regards
      EWS

      Delete
    2. www.myfxbook.com

      You can link any account into this website so we can follow your trades and performance!
      This what Marco means!

      Delete
    3. Hi Marco,

      I don't use myfxbook.

      Kind regards
      EWS

      Delete
  3. Hi EWS, could you please make an analyses for gbp/chf ? I think that here lays great long potential.
    thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi Marjan,

      I agree with you. A break above 1.4820 will release a huge upside potential..

      I'm quite busy rigth now, but will make a post as soon as I get the time.

      Kind regards
      EWS

      Delete
  4. Hello EWS,

    Hope you are doing fine.Could you please make a med term analysis for EJ?After we see the new high if we havent seen it already at around 135 you think we are heading long down to around 124 or lower?Also what will be the maximum allowance level where the bullish scenario gets invalid?

    Thanks in advance,
    Panos

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi Panos,

      I don't think you have seen a top at least not for the medium term. After this minor correction you should see renewed upside pressure.

      You should not break below 129.30 at any time, but even a break below 131.60 will confuse the overall bullish Picture.

      Kind regards
      EWS

      Delete