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Friday, January 10, 2014

Elliott wave analysis of EUR/JPY and EUR/NZD for January 10 - 2014

(Please click on the charts to see them better)
EUR/JPY:
 
Today's Support and Resistance Levels:
R3: 143.52
R2: 143.17
R1: 143.03
Current Spot: 142.83
S1: 142.56
S2: 142.26
S3: 142.04
Technical Summary:
I still think we are in the very early parts of the powerful wave iii lower towards at least 136.43. That said, we need to see the downside challenged soon, otherwise the risk turns towards a slightly bigger correction as wave ii unfolding towards 143.52, which a break above 143.03 will confirm. However, a break below support at 142.56 will indicate renewed downside pressure for a decline towards 142.04 and lower towards 141.50 on the way lower towards 136.43.


EUR/NZD:

Today's Support and Resistance Levels:
R3: 1.6621
R2: 1.6575 - Important resistance. Low of red wave i.
R1: 1.6546
Current Spot: 1.6516
S1: 1.6483
S2: 1.6435
S3: 1.6397
Technical Summary:
The expanded flat scenario has worked well but as long as support at 1.6483 protects the downside we could see red wave c extend a little higher towards 1.6546 before red wave v takes over for a break below 1.6483 and more importantly a break below 1.6397 confirming red wave v lower towards 1.6200. Once red wave v and black wave (iii) is done we should see a new correction, but it should stay below the top of red wave iv. 

3 comments:

  1. Good morning. First congratulations on your excellent work. I keep a long time and I especially interested in euro vs yen pair. If you do not mind I would like to know your monthly projection of the pair. Do you think it will drop to 120? Thank you very much.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi Jose,

      Thank you very much.

      A decline to 120 is a clearly possibily as that would mark a 50% correction of the rally from 94.10 to 145.69, but the 38.2% corrective target at 125.98 will pose very strong support too. So will just have to see what happens and which correctiv pattern that unfolds.

      Kind regards
      EWS

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  2. Thank you for your help. I have had many doubts in this vs jpy eur. I thought of a movement A B 131.XX C.100 94.xx but my account is incorrect and I will take the pair to overcome the 170 and 180 may also. Thank you for your quick response. It has been a great help, I will continue his studies with great interest, but the medium term.

    Kindest regards.

    Jesus (Joseph)

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