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Wednesday, January 29, 2014

Elliott wave analysis of EUR/JPY and EUR/NZD for Janaury 29 - 2014

EUR/JPY

Today's Support and Resistance Levels:
R3: 142.42
R2: 141.80
R1: 141.36
Current Spot: 141.16
S1: 140.77
S2: 140.29
S3: 139.79
Technical Summary:
The correction from 139.15 has extended as it has turned into a triple zig-zag correction, but we should be very close to the end of the correction. Expect the correction (blue wave ii) to end near 141.36. To indicate that the correction is over, we need a break below minor support at 140.77 and more importantly a break below 140.29 that confirms that blue wave ii is over and blue wave iii lower is developing for a decline towards at least 136.15.
Longer term I'm looking for a much deeper correction, but we will have to remember, that correction can be rather unpredictable as they evolve.
EUR/NZD

Today's Support and Resistance Levels:
R3: 1.6632
R2: 1.6568
R1: 1.6524
Current Spot: 1.6504
S1: 1.6452
S2: 1.6434
S3: 1.6385
Technical Summary:
It finally looks as red wave iv has ended slightly below my ideal target at 1.6463 (the low has been at 1.6452). Short term look for a break above minor resistance at 1.6523 and more importantly a break above 1.6567 which confirms that red wave iv is over and red wave v is developing for a move higher towards 1.6792. 
Short term look for support at 1.6493, which ideally will hold for the break above 1.6523, but we could see a move slightly lower towards 1.6476 before the break above 1.6523. At no point can a break below 1.6452 be accepted as that will prolong the correction from 1.6690.

4 comments:

  1. What i see in your chart is eurjpy is building a long bull flag!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi Zink,

      You are rigth. It could look like a bull flag, but be careful if/when we begins to see acceleartyion towards the downside, then it will no longer look like a bull flag.

      Kind regards
      EWS

      Delete
  2. Just curious what I'm missing . . .
    EurJpy chart . . .
    If this is a triple zig zag in a wave 2 then
    I'm wondering why you are using 1-2's
    instead of a-b-c ~~ w-x-y-xx-z
    labeling for corrective price action,
    not impulsive ?
    thanks for your time and insight ~~~~
    Charles

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi Charles,

      To keep the chart readable I haven't labled the internal waves that make up blue wave ii, but if was looking at says my 15 min. chart you would be able to see the internal Count for the triple zig-zag and it would be labled as you say.

      I hope it answers your question.

      Kind regards
      EWS

      Delete