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Friday, March 22, 2013

Elliott wave analysis of EUR/JPY and EUR/NZD

 EUR/JPY

The decline from 124.50 has become much bigger than I anticipated and that is of cause of concern, but, and that is of the utmost importance, support at 121.83 has not been broken. Only a break below 121.83 will invalidate my bullish call and tell me, that the rally from 121.56 was and X-wave and that a new zig-zag combination lower towards 120.05 is to be expected. However, as long as important support stays intact, we might only be looking at a very deep wave ii of iii of 5, but if this is the case we should soon see a impulsive rally above 123.44 and more importantly a break above 124.50, which will confirm that wave iii of 5 is indeed developing towards 133.54.

EUR/NZD

We finally got the thrust out of the triangle and as expected it was towards the downside. I'm  looking for a continuation towards at least 1.5312 in wave iii of C, then wave iv of C towards 1.5535 and the final decline towards 1.5200 to finish the major expanded triangle that has been developing since September 2012. Once this expanded triangle is finished we should expect a very powerful rally.

4 comments:

  1. Hello EWS:

    At this time the 121.83 support has been broken, this is a posibility I have been looking for from yesterday.

    Are we still in a irregular correction inside wave 4?

    Regards
    MC

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi Manuel,

      I don't think we still are in wave 4, but we of cause have to keep the option open until we have proff, that wave 5 is indeed developing.

      My preferred Count is still that we are in wave ii of 5 and that we soon will see wave iii of 5 take over for a powerful rally.

      Kind regards
      EWS

      Delete
  2. Hi EWS thanks for your view and have a great weekend

    Best Regards JT

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi JT

      Thank you very much and a great weekend to you too.

      Kind regards
      EWS

      Delete