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Friday, August 23, 2013

Elliott wave analysis of EUR/JPY and EUR/NZD for August 23

EUR/JPY

Today's Support and Resistance Levels:
R3: 133.81 (top on May 22)
R2: 132.74 (top of wave c of the triangle)
R1: 132.34
Current Spot: 132.14
S1: 131.92
S2: 131.52
S1: 131.05
Technical Summary:
We have seen the expected rally towards the triangle resistance-line near 132.00 and I will now be looking for the final e-wave of the triangle. This e-wave could fall all the way towards the the triangle support-line near 129.00, but it is more likely to end early, which would likely mean a termination of wave e close to 129.60. Once wave e is in place we should be looking for a new impulsive rally higher towards 140.98 as the next major upside target, but longer term we are looking for much higher levels closer to 170.00

EUR/NZD

Today's Support and Resistance Levels:
R3: 1.7153 (the top from August 5)
R2: 1.7100 (the ideal target for wave i)
R1: 1.7080 (current high for wave i)
Current Spot: 170.37
S1: 1.6998 (break below here will be first indication of a finish wave i)
S2: 1.6936
S3: 1.6855 
Technical Summary:

We have almost reached the ideal target for this wave i and we should soon see a wave ii correction develop. As long as support at 1.6998 protects the downside we could still see one last spike higher towards the ideal target at 1.7100, but from there or upon a break below 1.6998 we should see a corrective decline towards the 38.2% corrective target, which comes in at 1.6804. This correction could of cause be deeper, but looking at the speed wave i had and the impatient of the market we should only expect the minimum corrective target reached. But for now let's concentrate one picking the top of wave i near 1.7100.

9 comments:

  1. If in EUR/JPY we see a triangle for II wave,not have to accept it for wave B and the previous impulse wave for A?

    ReplyDelete
  2. Hi Diversanta and Kamil,

    I know I haven't changed the annotation yet, but if the triangle-count turns out to be correct a will view the triangle as an B wave.

    However, no matter what the annotation is for now the final outcome will be the same - A new major rally higher.

    Kind regards
    EWS

    ReplyDelete
  3. can you say something about EURCAD? if possible, with chart, please.

    thx

    ReplyDelete
  4. thank you very much!
    i'm newbie and i do not understand the elliot waves yet.
    my question: i am short and what do you think, could we see a correction next week to 1.37 (EURCAD).
    I AM VERY HAPPY TO FIND YOU HERE!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi Paulina,

      I would be very surprised if you saw a correction below 1.39.

      I don't think that a correction to 1.37 is very likely and I would likely have to change my Count. That doesn't it could not happen, but I would not bet on that outcome.

      Just want to give you one Word or advice - Don't let hope rule your Investment as that could end very badly and cost you alot of Money.

      Kind regards
      EWS

      Delete
    2. 1.39 is also very good.
      it could be about 200 pips profit.

      you are very kind
      thx again

      Delete
  5. Hello EWS:

    I was waiting for the last day powerful correction in EURJPY, in fact my count is very similar to yours, but in my count wave C is missing. You are talking we are in the last few days of wave 2, so musn't we expect a powerful C?

    ReplyDelete
  6. This comment has been removed by the author.

    ReplyDelete