Translate

Wednesday, August 21, 2013

Elliott wave analysis of EUR/JPY and EUR/NZD



EUR/JPY

Today's Support and Resistance Levels:
R3: 132.07
R2: 131.55
R1: 131.01 - Invalidation point of the bearish count
Current spot: 130.75
S1: 130.52
S2: 130.33
S3: 129.90  
Technical Summary:

I'm still looking for an impulsive decline to develop any time now. Short term I'm looking for important resistance at 131.01 to protect the upside for a break below 130.33 and more importantly a break below 129.90, which confirms a continuation lower towards 128.17 and maybe even low. However, a break above important support at 131.01 will invalidate my bearish count and call for a rally higher towards 132.00 and make the triangle count my preferred count.


EUR/NZD

Today's Support and Resistance Levels:
R3: 1.7100
R2: 1.7050
R1: 1.7006
Current spot: 1.6975
S1: 1.6925
S2: 1.6856
S3: 1.6835
Technical Summary:
We should be close to the top of wave i of the new impulsive rally which began at 1.6325. I expect the top to be set close to 1.7100 from where we should expect a correction towards at least 1.6915 and more likely down to 1.6804, where wave ii will have corrected 38.2% of wave i. If wave ii ends at 1.6804 it will still be a sub-normal correction for a wave ii and indicate underlying strength in this cross.
Longer term I'm looking for much higher levels.

7 comments:

  1. eurusd and gbpusd made new highs and eurusd broke 1,3416 importante resistence zone!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi Zink,

      Sorry for my radio-silence, but I'm pretty pressed for time right now.

      The break above 1.3416 has invalidated my previouse bearish impulsive Count. There is two-three good valid Counts at this point. One is calling for EUR/USD towards 1.42 (the most extrem) one is calling for a move closer to 1.3700 and one has a top near 1.3450 (maybe the top we saw yesterday).

      I will try to find time to update the possible scenarios today or tomorrow.

      Kind regards
      EWS

      Delete
  2. no, it didn't, it stayed there only couple of hours.

    ReplyDelete
  3. maybe it will later, but right now it's under water.

    ReplyDelete
  4. Hi ewf,

    What is your idea of audusd and audjpy? Is bottom have form and today low is wave 2?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi Juan,

      I don't think you have seen a bottom in either AUD/USD or AUD/JPY and looking for more downside action in paticular for AUD/USD.

      AUD/JPY could be closeing in on a bottom, but it probably will not be in before we get closer to 82.00

      Kind regards
      EWS

      Delete
    2. Thanks EWS, i agreed that AUDUSD may looking lower however before resume downside momentum possibility that AUDUSD short term run to 0.96.

      AUDJPY target 82 is long or short term price?

      Delete