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Wave 2 of [C] down ended at 1,129.24 and as wave 3 is normally the most dynamic, steep, violent we should expect the low at 1,011.52 to be broken soon for a decline to at least 951, but a more likely target would be 840,72.
If wave 1 down from 1,219.80 ended at 1,041.32 (The alternate count), then we have seen an flat correction, it's very important to notice, that wave C of that flat correction didn't break above the top of wave B at 1,131.08. That type of flat corrections is called "Running flats" (see Elliott Wave Principle page 48). They are very rare. In the Elliott Wave Principle Prechter and Frost says "We must issue a warning, however. There are hardly any examples of this type of correction in the price record..." This might be an excellente example of an running flat correction. The implications, if it is a running flat correction, is very telling. It forsay that the we are in a very strong and fast market and in this case it is to the downside.
If wave 1 of [C] ended at 1,011.52 the following correction was a much more common Zig-zag. Telling us that the battle between the bulls and bears was hard, but the bears won and we should now headed lower in wave 3 of [C]
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Hi there - good to see you're back to posting! It's been a busy week :)
ReplyDeleteAny new thoughts on the AUD/USD pair since topping? ...I'd love to see your possible wave count/projections .(..mine look a bit unclear!)
Jem
I just found the blog today, I'm definitely going to tune in more, very nice charting, your analysis from what I've been following on my charts, mainly S&P and Forex is superb, looking forward to your updates, Paulfx
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