The long term picture for USD/CAD is clearly down, but we could be looking at an inverted Shoulder/Head/Shoulder bottom. A break above the neckline at 106.40 will confirm the bottom for a rally towards the long term downtrend line, which currently is at 118.53.
Only a break below support at 100.52 and more importantly 98.88 will invalidate the bottom-formation.
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