![](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgV8CahDRsfEwFDEMmCup3HuS6Mt5SCX4-5X9EIlufMw5fsnF8y9jtk2975afSjm-2rtvBFeGHhSaMNzOame4s0C6NFII0BSON6zD2WCEW0RIAMXQi3-BfTpqKypf1jILo7HC6cKhsk_cZJ/s400/image002.gif)
EUR/USD - We are still locked in the riseing channel from 131.44, but the latest price-action has taken a triangle shape. I don't regard this as a wave iv triangle (the count doesn't fit). I would go with the break whatever way it goes (I prefer the downside). A break below 137.40 would open for a decline towards 135.50 and possibly even 133.50.
A bréak above 138.10 will open for a move higer towards 139.32 before down again.
![](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgRsd72UiByjb1ULCArHRScGkLfjWn0KYMVnl-nva_shgnG6S9WSazwSEGg_cIqrDLmeXTXH_vzJOFtJkIYyBG_VekiCsM5nZSYnetje43U2bNuty0FlHQ126Q75zkqTJ8Jqk_aI6Zla77w/s400/image002.gif)
S&P 500 - We broke below the steep supportline, which is signal that wave A is over and wave B down towards the 1,147 - 1,150 area is ongoing. We could even see a decline towards the 1,124 - 1,130 area before the next rally higher in wave C.
![](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjWef8YXXnLJIOFFSqBrLyIqMGilXU37L5ToyALCop6Uechm67WNTFqZ2N9JwEL6jQ5o7stmgwxAkEt7MxzvyHge45JhAT6iQNFxx2wBMprLr5BMXMY-E-caIswI5WFXRQtp9EDhqfZGHA1/s400/image002.gif)
Gold - Not much to add. I have move the minor trendline resistance from 1,920 a bit, but we still need this resistance-line to be broken to see the next rally higher towards 1,754 area.
The main risk as long as we are below the resistance-line is to the downside and a new test of support near 1,584.
![](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjnFuwk0_urGV1k-GCde8vmDcN8U0vRCNzc3m76nafOrkxcKEaERaYyMJ89Z99IzPZNvIeCt6-SPTctJYiV_MFJlzpXGmA361cSP6hASMmZ9CKX6R1v0FzemHNX7DbOH3OEHOtKkv7LY6z3/s400/image002.gif)
Crude oil - we saw a short term break below 84, which has weakened the uptrend since 75. We can see a minor triangle shaped, which I think will be broken to the downside for a decline towards the 79 area. Strong resistance is at the trendline from 114.83 currently at 87.
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