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Tuesday, September 28, 2010

S&P 500 - Something big will happen soon

The On Balance Volume (OBV) indicator hasn't confirmed the last move higher at the same time prices are meeting strong resistance from the declining trend line back from late 2007.
Wave C will be equal to wave A in the 1,154 - 1,158 area depending from where you measure the beginning of wave C. Only a break below 1,122 would confirm that the top is in place and the inverted Shoulder/Head/Shoulder bottom be destroyed.

As can be seen on the VIX below the Bollinger Band are beginning to get very close, which means that a big move is close at hand. I would still expect it to be to the downside, but as long as 1,122 isn't broken to the downside, the inverted shoulder/head/shoulder is in place calling for a move towards 1,245.86.



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