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Friday, November 29, 2013

Elliott wave analysis of AUD/USD

AUD/USD

Please see my post from October 19 here first: http://theelliottwavesufer.blogspot.dk/2013/10/elliott-wave-analysis-of-audusd-and.html

We saw the top close to the 50% correction and we are now seeing acceleration towards the downside. We can also see a S/H/S top-pattern adding support to the downside pressure.

For the long term I'm still looking for much more downside here. My minimum expectation is for a decline towards 0.8204, where wave C will be equal in length to wave A, but I would not be surprised to see and extension lower towards 0.8065 and mayby even lower, but time will tell.

8 comments:

  1. Hi EWS,
    how do you see now GBPUSD?
    Please answer es soon es you can. I am short!

    Thx

    ReplyDelete
  2. Thanks for your posts this week when you have time can you take a look at DJI please.
    Have a great Weekend.

    Best Regards jt

    ReplyDelete
  3. Hi Paulina,

    With a small new high I have "just" shiftede the ending-point af wave d. We are likely close to the top of wave d, but we need a break below 1.6258 to indicate, that the top is in place, while a break below 1.6133 confirms that the final e-wave of the triangle is developing towards 1.5854.


    Only a break above the top of the triangles wave b at 1.6689 will confirm, that the e-wave is already in place and was very very small.

    Kind regards

    EWS

    ReplyDelete
  4. Hi JT,

    Thank you very much and a great weekend to you too.

    I will take a look at DJI during the weekend and make a fresh update.

    Kind regards
    EWS

    ReplyDelete
  5. Thank you very much, if you could post a chart GBPUSD to your view, that would be great.

    ReplyDelete
  6. Thank for audusd chart. long term count valid for drop however short term do u think the upward correction still unfinished business possibility back to 1 if 0.8950 could hold? anyway this week movement have mess up the pattern.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi Juan,

      Sorry, but no! I don't see a rally towards 1.00. I do see the possiblity for a correction towards 0.9205 and maybe even 0.9250, before the next decline lower towards at least 0.8204 and likely even lower.

      Kind regards
      EWS

      Delete