![](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjIdAZ56G5aHv_N6NMVdgWdH1_euz3HAjZcvtk7CV8rw7x7l5zNyi-0j2LCFn2GhXM4YUOSfQDjeMLqFx1kU3PXdLIf1XaHagq_PIevPOjOHBKxbW5e6_Hrlx5C3iBeQYSZ6C1H4Vz36ec/s400/image003.gif)
The trendline-support since March 6, 2009 has clearly been broken to the downside.
From an Elliott Wave perspective we saw a very nice Throw-over in the final ending diagonal, which was C wave of Z of [B].
The break below ending diagonal wave 4 at 10,568.99 has confirmed that a top is in place for a decline to the beginning of the formation at 10,263.97.
![](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi5lx9lgb1_R6ZbePEw0m9kGKYkhU0GQH0uMOGghLoe6gbZUpmi1701b0v6cu5anL_60ZHXoTuWlzuvMY0ZLvmBZQuaihtsrUF-7-dXPV-mpEaJ-kHEiwnUb0j0uyQuo1C9ZhmwUEKuVzI/s400/image002.gif)
The above chart is just a close-up of the final z-wave rise to 10,723.70.
![](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgHnHEbI5NB2rC4SWYG7YUXbV9LKyA4H7x6m2BwB7LSOcWIz_6VQ-W6QaS010VZzuhwobjspN0VALNeoTsRTFjC5lX2g_Qx_YMbh-0y9W7Ex2147oOCONz9xBjpNZ1qBTbrXnrpiScM-CI/s400/image002.gif)
This is a 1 minute chart of the decline from 10,721.50, which is a clear 5 wave decline to 10,561.06 and the following rise clearly looks like a a-b-c correction, which should a least reach 10,622.14, which marks the 38.2% correction of the decline from 10,721.50 to 10,561.06 and also the top of wave 4.
As this is a wave 2 correction I wouldn't be suprised to see a higher rally towards the 10,640 - 10,660 area, but it's not a necessity.
Finally a minor warning - Be aware that none of the other indices has confirmed the breakdown in DJI and the is a possible altenate count saying that this is wave 4 calling for one final rally above 10,723.50. I will not bet on this outcome thus, but just like to know it is a possibility.
No comments:
Post a Comment