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Thursday, January 21, 2010

DJI - Is the top in place or do we need one more rally higher?



The break below fridays low at 10,561.66 adds favor to the picture of the top finaly being in place with the 10,729.82. The current rally would then be wave 2 which should find resistance in the 10,623 - 10,649 area for the next decline under the wave 1 bottom at 10,517.38 for a continuations to at least the 10,279 - 10,304 area.

Whats adds to the bearish case is, that none of the other indices made a new high yesterday. Leaving DJI lonely at the freezing cold top...

BUT! Until we see the break below 10,517.38 we are once againe presented with an alternate count, which I have shown below. This count has wave 4 ending at 10,517.38 yesterday and one more new high should be seen in the next couple of days.

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