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Thursday, March 27, 2014

Elliott wave analysis of EUR/JPY - Is wave iii lower already developing?

EUR/JPY

Today's Support and Resistance Levels:
R3: 141.74
R2: 141.32
R1: 141.05
Current Spot: 140.82
S1: 140.54
S2: 140.27
S3: 139.88
Technical Summary:
The decline below 140.66 and more importantly 140.43 could indicate that a new impulsive decline in wave iii is developing. That said, the correction from 140.43 has been relatively shallow and quick, therefore this decline could be a b-wave of an expanded flat correction. As both counts is more or less with a fifty/fifty chance I will let the benefit of the doubt go to the bears and that wave iii lower could be developing. If this count is correct we should ideally see resistance at 141.05 protect the upside for a break below 140.53 and more importantly a break below 140.30 for a move lower towards 136.45. If however, minor resistance at 141.05 and more importantly resistance at 141.54 is broken then the expanded flat correction scenario is proved to be the correct count and a move higher to 142.11 should be seen before the next impulsive decline takes over.

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