
Long term I'm still looking for the Inverted S/H/S target in the 87 area to be tested.



Short term we might see a minor pullback, but again it should be a question of time before we break above resistance at 103.20.
Dow Jones Industrial - Is facing strong overhead resistance. Yes we might see a move closer towards 12.500, but I still think we are in dangerous high areas here and we look for selling opportunities in this area or more conservative upon a break below 12.140.
Shanghai Composite - We have nailed this one pretty well too. We are already close to resistance at 2,240, but with the speed we have seen until now, I would not be overly surprised to see a mover higher towards 2,302 before the next real pressure to the downside is seen
Junk Bonds (JNK) - It's decision time. Overall the bigger picture is still dominated by the Diamond Top and should cause a break below the support line at 38.00 for the next serious decline towards at least 32.70 but longer term I looking for a move towards 31 and possibly even 25.50 again.
Gold - Should also be ready for its next decline. A break below 1,603 will indicate, that the next decline has begun. Until the break below 1,603 we seem to be locked inside the 1,603 - 1,623 range.
Crude Oil - Even though Iran is still spooking, I do think that strong overhead resistance in the 103.50 - 104 area will hold firm for a break below 98.50 to confirm the next attack on support at 92.50 and deeper.





However we must accept the risk of a sudden spike, if Iran does mean business and close the Hormuz strait. To be honest I don't think, that Iran will take this steep an walk into a conflict with the US, but we can never know for sure.
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