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Tuesday, July 16, 2013

Elliott wave analysis on EUR/JPY and EUR/NZD

 EUR/JPY

With the break above resistance at 130.56 we now must expect a much more complex correction developing. We should now be looking for a move higher towards the top at 133.81. This expected move higher will not be easy to break down, but we will take it step by step. I now expect support in the 130.00 - 130.10 range to protect the downside for the next rally higher towards 131.31 and a break above here will add confidence in a continuation higher towards strong resistance at 133.81. That said, it will take a break below 130.00 to question the rally higher, but only a break below 128.90 will invalidate this call.

EUR/NZD

We have been trading sideways since yesterday, but as long as resistance at 1.6756 protects the upside we could see one last decline closer to 1.6634 before the next powerful rally towards 1.7047 will be seen. However, my first target at 1.7047 should only be a minor bump on the way higher as I expect this rally to very powerful. To invalidate my call for much higher levels, it would take a break below 1.6583 as a break below here will call a decline to at least 1.6440.

5 comments:

  1. Hi EWS on your EW indicator what settings do you use and are they different for daily 4hr

    Best Regards jt

    ReplyDelete
  2. Hi EWS, in some of the previous posts you targeted 1.9 at EUR/NZD. Do you expect this to happen during 2014 or later ?

    Regards

    ReplyDelete
  3. Hi JT,

    To my knowlege it's no possible to change the setting for the EWO, which normaly are 5 - 35

    I use the same setting on all time frames.

    Kind regards
    EWS

    ReplyDelete
  4. Hi, Marjan

    I would not be surpised to see in late 2013 or during 2014, but there are many possibly formation, that could drag out the time.

    Kind regards
    EWS

    ReplyDelete
  5. thanx EWS for quick answer, I'm bearish on commodities and any rise at AUD,NZD & friends I see as a "dead cat bounce".

    ReplyDelete