Friday, November 7, 2014

Elliott wave analysis of S&P 500 - The S&P 500 is headed for 2,081.85

S&P 500 is headed for 2,081.85 as the first possible upside target 
The rally of the 1,818.90 is clearly impulsive and we can already count five wave up from 1,818.90, but is the top in place? Not likely, when we have the first four waves in place, we can calculate the possible targets for the fifth wave. The first target to plot is where wave five will be equal in length to wave one and red wave (v) will be equal in length to red wave (i) at 2,131.42. 
The next two target to calculate is where wave five will be either 38.2% or 61.8% the distance traveled from the bottom of wave one to the top of wave three and add those two calculations to the bottom of wave four. In this case, that will give us the 38.2% target at 2,081.85 while the 61.8% target comes in at 2,130.73.
So the first target, that we should aim for is at 2,081.85, this could be the final top for red wave (v), but only time will show. If however we break clearly above the 2,081.85 target, then our focus should turn towards the 2,130.73 - 2,131.42 area as the next possible top for red wave (v).
At this point, only an unexpected break below support at 2,002.20 will indicate that the top of red wave (v) already is in place and shift the focus to the downside.  

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1 comment:

  1. Good call! What are your potential downside targets?
    Cheers,
    Heiko

    ReplyDelete