
The decline below 140.46 has once again put the possible bullish count under threat. As long as possible wave iv does break into the territory of wave i at 138.61, the bullish count could still be valid. As can be seen on the hourly chart below the last decline is followed by a very clear divergence on the MACD-Indicator, which could be a warning that a bottom is close at hand. To really get things going for the bullish scenario a break above the minor top at 143.45 is needed.
A break below 138.61 will kill the bullish count and favor that the entire rally from 118.75 was a double zig-zag and call for a much deeper decline. Before that decline we should see a rally higher towards 143.45 first thus.

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